SBP Policy Rate Forecast (ARIMA)

This project uses Python and ARIMA (via pmdarima) to forecast the State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) policy rate.

📊 Overview

• Input: Monthly SBP policy rate dataset (data/sample.csv).
• Method: Auto-ARIMA model selection (AIC-based).
• Output: Forecast for the next 10 months.

🚀 How to Run

python -m venv .venv
source .venv/bin/activate   # Linux/Mac
.venv\Scripts\activate      # Windows

pip install -r requirements.txt
python src/forecast.py