Skip to content

Folders and files

NameName
Last commit message
Last commit date

Latest commit

 

History

5 Commits
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 

Repository files navigation

L&T Integrated Financial Model

An integrated 3-statement financial model, valuation analysis, and presentation deck for Larsen & Toubro Limited (NSE: LT, BSE: 500510), built entirely from publicly available data — no internal, proprietary, or confidential information was used.

Basis: Audited consolidated financial statements, stock exchange filings, investor relations disclosures, and credit-rating agency reports. See Data Sources below.


What's in This Repo

File Description
LT_Financial_Model.xlsx The core model — 14 linked tabs, 855 formulas, fully editable
LT_Model_Presentation.pptx 16-slide presentation deck summarizing the model for stakeholder review
docs/LT_Model_Report.docx 7-page summary report
docs/LT_Model_Detailed_Report.docx 27-page detailed report with full methodology, assumptions, and validation walkthrough

Coverage

  • History: FY2015-16 → FY2025-26 (11 years, audited)
  • Projections: FY2026-27E → FY2030-31E (5 years)
  • Currency: ₹ Crore, consolidated basis

Key Outputs

Metric FY2025-26A FY2030-31E (Base Case)
Revenue from Operations ₹2,85,874 Cr ₹5,22,579 Cr
EBITDA Margin 11.5% 10.7%
Owners' PAT ₹16,084 Cr ₹31,642 Cr
EPS ₹116.92 ₹229.96
DCF-Implied Value/Share ₹2,213 (base case)

Model Structure

The workbook is organized into four functional groups across 14 tabs:

  • Foundation — Cover, Assumptions, Historical Trends
  • Core Financials — Income Statement, Balance Sheet, Cash Flow Statement, Segment Analysis (fully linked; balance sheet ties to ₹0 across all 11 years)
  • Business Context — Order Book & Backlog, Credit Profile
  • Valuation & Risk — Ratios Dashboard, DCF Valuation, Relative Valuation, Scenario Analysis, Sensitivity Analysis

Every projected cell is formula-driven from the Assumptions tab — nothing downstream of FY2025-26 actuals is hardcoded.

Data Sources

  • L&T Investor Relations — 10-year financial trends
  • L&T audited consolidated results (Q4 FY2025-26), filed with BSE/NSE
  • L&T 81st Integrated Annual Report & Board's Report, FY2025-26
  • ICRA rating rationale — order book composition, working capital metrics
  • CRISIL, India Ratings, S&P Global, Fitch — public credit ratings
  • Screener.in — peer company financials (Siemens, ABB India, BHEL, Thermax)
  • NSE / BSE — shareholding pattern, reference market price

Full source list and validation methodology are in the detailed report.

Validation

  • Balance Check: Total Assets − Total Equity & Liabilities = ₹0 across all 11 years, including all 5 projected years
  • Formula integrity: 855 formulas, 0 errors
  • Historical back-testing: Four derived metrics (PBDIT, Capital Employed, Return on Net Worth, Book Value/Share) were reverse-engineered and validated against L&T's own disclosed FY2024-25 figures before being trusted for FY2025-26 — accuracy ranged from 99.97% to exact matches

Appropriate Use

✅ External investor communication / equity valuation, competitive benchmarking, strategic scenario planning, financial-modeling practice

❌ Internal project-level P&L tracking, debt covenant monitoring, monthly/quarterly variance analysis, board-level capital allocation decisions — these require internal data this project does not have access to by design

Limitations

This model is built entirely on public data, which means:

  • Annual granularity only (no monthly/quarterly tracking)
  • No debt maturity ladder (not publicly disclosed)
  • Simplified expense structure in projection years (segment-result bridge, not full line-item build-up)
  • Order-book geographic/segment mix reflects the most recently available disclosure (~March 2025), not necessarily current composition
  • Bear/Bull scenarios are illustrative, author-constructed cases — not company guidance

Full limitations and disclaimers are documented in Section 13 of the detailed report.


Disclaimer

This model and its outputs do not constitute investment advice, a fairness opinion, or a substitute for professional equity research. All valuation outputs are illustrative analytical exercises built from public information.

About

Integrated 3-statement financial model, DCF & relative valuation, and scenario analysis for Larsen & Toubro — built entirely from public data (audited filings, exchange disclosures, credit ratings). 14 tabs, 855 formulas, fully linked.

Topics

Resources

Stars

0 stars

Watchers

0 watching

Forks

Releases

Packages

Contributors